Madison Tyler Holdings Interview Question
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Interview Question for Trading Analyst at Madison Tyler Holdings:
We play a game. You flip two coins, if you get both heads I give you $1. If you get both tails you flip again. If you get one of each, I pay you nothing. What's the expected value of this game?
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0.75xE=0.25
E=0.33
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By writing E=0.25x1+0.5x0+0.25xE, Kerzane could as well have written
E?0.25x1 + 0.5x0 + 0.25x(0.25x1 + 0.5x0 + 0.25x(0.25x1 + 0.5x0 + 0.25x(....)))
This is quite simply the geometric sum: (n-> infinity) E=0.25 + 0.25^2 + 0.25^3....0.25^n
which is equal to 0.25/(1-0.25) = 0.25/0.75 = 1/3 or 0.333
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by Interview Candidate:
You are twice as likely to get one of each (H-T or T-H) versus getting both heads
answer:
(2/3)($1) + (1/3)(0) = 66.7 cents